Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.041922 3.382849 3.751751 4.181469 4.669383 5.207425 5.847393
2025-03-16 2.503109 2.951815 3.471548 4.121374 4.916720 5.864323 7.087525
2025-03-23 2.257970 2.783700 3.425162 4.272582 5.373273 6.769113 8.696529
2025-03-30 2.017333 2.574805 3.283383 4.261465 5.594386 7.373544 9.972474
2025-04-06 1.822279 2.394205 3.146550 4.224491 5.755424 7.892032 11.172192
2025-04-13 1.602260 2.154758 2.901998 4.005694 5.627451 7.976419 11.737041
2025-04-20 1.490872 2.051138 2.829806 4.015073 5.816872 8.526157 13.053235
2025-04-27 1.416995 1.991927 2.811912 4.096568 6.114583 9.261782 14.747304
2025-05-04 1.351206 1.937549 2.794077 4.172571 6.405885 10.011715 16.556705
2025-05-11 1.284876 1.876154 2.759058 4.215722 6.644428 10.695388 18.336657
2025-05-18 1.222734 1.815727 2.719479 4.245661 6.860232 11.358409 20.163149
2025-05-25 1.134404 1.708171 2.597575 4.128985 6.812938 11.553076 21.129302
2025-06-01 1.066322 1.629451 2.518193 4.080469 6.886201 11.983633 22.642440
2025-06-08 1.003729 1.555399 2.441095 4.029215 6.949322 12.402393 24.196351
2025-06-15 0.984493 1.550430 2.477244 4.177971 7.392737 13.594377 27.559213
2025-06-22 0.938122 1.497039 2.427373 4.167430 7.532846 14.204035 29.746825
2025-06-29 0.891349 1.439865 2.366761 4.131458 7.618656 14.710799 31.778910
2025-07-06 0.819704 1.335853 2.217626 3.918231 7.331924 14.406569 31.846111
2025-07-13 0.788337 1.299961 2.186879 3.927375 7.496028 15.083615 34.412693
2025-07-20 0.769588 1.285010 2.192520 4.006805 7.812549 16.131641 38.099273
2025-07-27 0.751123 1.269345 2.195567 4.080875 8.124448 17.207099 42.059906
2025-08-03 0.729378 1.246389 2.183399 4.122926 8.370357 18.159034 45.867636
2025-08-10 0.707276 1.221467 2.165799 4.152102 8.589987 19.074931 49.753895